Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002461 0.002616 0.002783 0.002975 0.003191 0.003430 0.003715
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002265 0.002484 0.002731 0.003036 0.003406 0.003851 0.004437
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002094 0.002347 0.002645 0.003031 0.003529 0.004171 0.005101
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001944 0.002214 0.002541 0.002981 0.003577 0.004393 0.005678
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001875 0.002169 0.002537 0.003050 0.003782 0.004856 0.006726
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001810 0.002121 0.002520 0.003097 0.003957 0.005304 0.007907
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001720 0.002033 0.002443 0.003047 0.003978 0.005509 0.008721
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001627 0.001935 0.002342 0.002951 0.003914 0.005553 0.009223
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001573 0.001884 0.002303 0.002942 0.003984 0.005846 0.010423
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001472 0.001766 0.002161 0.002769 0.003762 0.005555 0.010040
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001438 0.001737 0.002145 0.002783 0.003859 0.005895 0.011540
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001420 0.001728 0.002156 0.002841 0.004036 0.006441 0.014116
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001378 0.001686 0.002118 0.002821 0.004081 0.006735 0.016267
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001355 0.001670 0.002119 0.002866 0.004253 0.007381 0.021065
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001321 0.001636 0.002090 0.002857 0.004321 0.007797 0.025892
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001279 0.001590 0.002040 0.002810 0.004307 0.007993 0.030075
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001266 0.001585 0.002053 0.002872 0.004525 0.008943 0.047573
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001250 0.001573 0.002055 0.002913 0.004708 0.009894 0.085800
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001215 0.001534 0.002011 0.002868 0.004689 0.010150 0.123209
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001174 0.001483 0.001947 0.002782 0.004566 0.009981 0.138820
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001152 0.001460 0.001925 0.002774 0.004625 0.010548 0.351628
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001100 0.001390 0.001827 0.002617 0.004314 0.009537 0.158862
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001085 0.001377 0.001819 0.002630 0.004414 0.010252 0.699187